Date and Time: December 26th, 2017, 2:30 - 4:00 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum)


Testing predictability of asset returns is a cornerstone issue in modern asset pricing and the related fields. It has been one of the hottest research topics in asset pricing field in the recent two decades. In this talk, I will combine several of my papers on testing predictability of asset returns and review the recent developments in this area. In particular, I will outline some future research topics in this area.


About the speakerZongwu Cai

Dr. Zongwu Cai is the Charles Oswald Professor of Econometrics and a Professor of Economics at Department of Economics, The University of Kansas. Furthermore, he is a member of the Scientific Board of our CFDS. His research interests include econometrics, quantitative finance, risk management, data-analytic modeling, nonlinear and nonstationary time series, and their applications, and among others. His primary research focuses on developing and justifying econometric methodology and applications in economics and finance. His work has been published extensively in professional journals, including both leading econometrics and statistics journals: Journal of Econometrics, Econometric Theory, The Journal of American Statistical Association, and more.


Date and Time: October 20th, 2017, 2:00 - 3:30 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum)


We trace the rise of the so called oligarchs in post-Soviet Russia and examine their relationship to income distribution in Russia. When Russia moved to a market economy in the 1990s a new business elite evolved. Russia’s distinctive path towards market economy, among other factors, gave rise to the oligarchs who now control large parts of the economy and have a strong standing within politics and society.

Using a unique regional data set on the locations of oligarchs’ businesses across the Russian regions, we test Acemoglu’s (2008) proposition that oligarchic societies experience extreme income inequality. Our results show significantly higher levels of income inequality in regions with a higher presence of oligarchs.


About the speakerJarko bigimage

Jarko Fidrmuc is holding the Chair of International Economics at Zeppelin University, Friedrichshafen, Germany. His main research areas are international economics, in specific empirical analysis of European Integration and globalization, analyses of economic cycles and theory of optimal currency area, and development of emerging economies in Eastern Europe and Asia.

Date and Time: June 15th, 2018, 4:00 - 5:30 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum)



This paper analyses the effect of inter provincial market segmentation on the survival time of enterprises with Chinese industrial enterprises data using the Cox proportional hazards model. The results show that: (1) There is an U relationship between market segmentation and enterprise survival time. Minor market segmentation is helpful to improve the enterprise's survival time, while stronger market segmentation will reduce the company's survival time. (2) Market segmentation reduces the survival time of enterprises by two mechanisms, reducing productivity and weakening innovation incentives. (3) Specially, we further investigated the effect of market segmentation on different ownership enterprises. Market segmentation will significantly improve the survival time of state-owned enterprises, and shorten the survival time of private enterprises.


Date and Time: May 18th, 2018, 4:00 - 5:30 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum) on New Campus


In this paper we reexamine the literature on money demand in China published both in English and Chinese language. Over the past 30 years - starting with the paper by Chow (1987) there has been a regular stream of papers assessing the Chinese money demand function. The literature is mostly focusing on income elasticity, stability, and - which is special for China - the adequate choice and quality of data. In particular regarding stability of money demand, we find a substantial publication bias towards rejecting stability. When controlling for publication bias, and focusing on longer time periods, our paper strongly suggests stable long run money demand in China.

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