Date and Time: June 15th, 2018, 4:00 - 5:30 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum)

Abstract

This paper analyses the effect of inter provincial market segmentation on the survival time of enterprises with Chinese industrial enterprises data using the Cox proportional hazards model. The results show that: (1) There is an U relationship between market segmentation and enterprise survival time. Minor market segmentation is helpful to improve the enterprise's survival time, while stronger market segmentation will reduce the company's survival time. (2) Market segmentation reduces the survival time of enterprises by two mechanisms, reducing productivity and weakening innovation incentives. (3) Specially, we further investigated the effect of market segmentation on different ownership enterprises. Market segmentation will significantly improve the survival time of state-owned enterprises, and shorten the survival time of private enterprises.

Date and Time: May 18th, 2018, 4:00 - 5:30 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum) on New Campus

Abstract

In this paper we reexamine the literature on money demand in China published both in English and Chinese language. Over the past 30 years - starting with the paper by Chow (1987) there has been a regular stream of papers assessing the Chinese money demand function. The literature is mostly focusing on income elasticity, stability, and - which is special for China - the adequate choice and quality of data. In particular regarding stability of money demand, we find a substantial publication bias towards rejecting stability. When controlling for publication bias, and focusing on longer time periods, our paper strongly suggests stable long run money demand in China.

Date and Time: May 4th, 2018, 2:30 - 4:00 pm

Room: A 101 in the Economics Building (Museum)

Abstract

Soybean is one of the main imported US products of China, which has been accounting for around 10% of the total imports from the US since 2008. The recent trade tension between the US and China has made soybeans get much attention as the soybean fell into the first list of products which were imposed 25% retaliation tariff. This paper investigates the possible effects of such a tariff increase through the effects of soybean import price shock on Chinese edible oil price, pork price as well as CPI. The impulse responses of our structural vector autoregressive models show that around 30% of the increase in soybean import price can be transmitted to Chi-
nese domestic edible oil price while very little can be transmitted to pork price. About 3% of the soybean import price shock can be passed onto CPI. Our study shed light on the possible negative effects of the increased the US soybean tariffs on the Chinese economy. At the same time, we also clarify the channel that the transmit the soybean import price shock to CPI is edible oil instead of
pork.